Fire Preparation, Response

and Recovery

FINAL REPORT Volume II

 

 

The Hon. Bernard Teague AO – ChairPERSON

Ronald McLeod AM – Commissioner

Susan Pascoe AM – Commissioner

 

 

 

ORDERED TO BE PRINTED

 

July 2010

 

 

 

By Authority

Government Printer for the State of Victoria

PP No. 332 – Session 2006-10

Parliament of Victoria
2009 Victorian Bushfires Royal Commission
ISBN 978-0-9807408-3-7
Published July 2010

ISBN
Summary   978-0-9807408-1-3
Volume I     978-0-9807408-2-0
Volume III   978-0-9807408-4-4
Volume IV   978-0-9807408-5-1


A note for readers

The Commission is conscious of the wide interest in its report—not only in Victoria but elsewhere in Australia and internationally. Its readership will be broad and readers’ interests will vary. Some chapters will be of keen interest to many, including people affected by the late January and February 2009 bushfires. Other chapters are directed at a more technical readership and might be of interest to academics or practitioners. Governments and their agencies will probably examine the entire report in detail, seeking to understand its implications for policy, operational practices and service delivery.

In view of this broad audience, the Commission tried to make its report as accessible as possible, without undue technicalities, and thus more easily read by the general public. Each chapter is designed to stand alone to help readers who might have more discrete interests. Such an approach inevitably results in some repetition. Each chapter’s introductory remarks provide brief background information, describe the chapter’s purpose, and summarise the essential position the Commission is advocating.

The report is available in hard-copy and digital form. The digital version contains links to the evidence for those interested in seeing additional detail about the material discussed (the transcript and exhibits) and submissions. The report was written with electronic production in mind, and this influenced decisions about matters such as the presentation of endnotes.

Following are some of the terms used in the report in the interests of consistency and simplicity:

       bunkers—when referring to personal bushfire shelters

       community refuges—rather than designated refuges

       bushfire shelters—rather than neighbourhood safer places, except where the current policy framework is being discussed

       roadblocks—rather than traffic management points

       code red days—rather than Code Red/Catastrophic days

       stay or go—to refer to Victoria’s bushfire safety policy

       vulnerable people—incorporating groups such as young people, older people, the ill and the infirm.

Technical terms are, however, used if a direct reference is made to existing government policy or in a direct quote, to ensure that the meaning is conveyed accurately. Further, some of the terms used in this report differ from those used in the Commission’s interim report. The decision to use different terminology is based on new evidence and a desire to simplify and clarify the language used.

The Commission recognises that a number of different terms are used to describe bushfires—for example, wildfire and megafire, as used in the United States. To ensure consistency and minimise confusion, this report uses the term ‘bushfire’ in all instances other than when referring to the name of a policy or report. The Commission also tends to use the words ‘ferocious’ and ‘severe’ to describe the type of fire that occurred on 7 February.

For simplicity, the Commission also uses the term ‘wind change’ generically when referring to the complex interaction between changes in the wind’s direction and fire behaviour. Chapter 1 in Volume I discusses the impact of wind on fire behaviour and the nature of the wind change on Black Saturday.

Overall, the Commission did not reach a firm view about the appropriateness of using any of these terms beyond its final report, but it does note a preference for plain language. In Chapter 11 in Volume II the Commission expresses support for further work being done in order to identify the best words to use in public communications about bushfire.

Three other conventions applied in this report warrant mention. First, for consistency with fire agencies’ use in bushfire warnings and other measurements of time, the 24-hour clock is used in the discussion of the fires in Part One of Volume I. Throughout the rest of the report the 12-hour clock is used to refer to time. Second, although metric measures are generally used in the report, imperial measures are used if they reflect more commonly understood terminology—for example, a quarter-acre block.

Third, readers should bear in mind that the Commission draws a distinction between ‘State’ and ‘state’. The State refers generically to the mechanisms of the Victorian Government, including the departments and agencies that were collectively represented as parties before the Commission. In contrast, the state is used in reference to Victoria as a place or geographic entity.


CONTENTS

PART ONE

 

A note for readers

iii

Introduction

xvi–xix

The implications for policy reform

xvi

The rural–urban interface

xvi

Climate change

xvi

Structure of this volume

xvii

 

1   Victoria’s bushfire safety policY

1–68

1.1   Staying or going

3

1.2    The policy at 7 February

4

1.2.1    The empirical basis for the stay or go policy

5

1.2.2    Community education

6

1.3    Lessons before 7 February

7

1.4    Lessons from 7 February

8

1.4.1    What people did

10

1.4.2    The people who left

10

1.4.3    THE People who stayed

14

1.4.4    Vulnerable people

17

1.4.5    Bushfire awareness and knowledge

17

1.4.6    Preparation and planning

19

1.4.7    Places of shelter

19

1.4.8    The psychological impact

21

1.5    Changes since 7 February

22

1.5.1    The stay or go policy

22

1.5.2    Information and warnings

25

1.5.3    Emergency calls

28

1.5.4    Evacuation and refuge

28

1.6    Towards a better bushfire safety policy

31

1.6.1    Every fire is different

31

1.6.2    Human behaviour varies

32

1.6.3    Advice and local planning are crucial

32

1.7    The revised policy framework

32

1.8    Before a bushfire

34

1.8.1    Building on the strengths of the existing policy: leaving early

34

1.8.2    Continuing community advice and engagement

34

1.8.3    Crucial knowledge

35

1.8.4    Local planning for bushfire safety

37

1.8.5    Individual planning and preparation

41

1.8.6    Identification and development of shelter options

42

1.8.7    Planning for evacuation

48

1.9    During a bushfire

50

1.9.1    Warnings on specific bushfire threats

50

1.9.2    Emergency evacuation

52

1.9.3    Stay and defend

53

1.9.4    The Black Saturday upgrade

54

1.10    After a bushfire

54

1.10.1    Gathering information and research

54

1.10.2    Monitoring and review

54

1.11    The bigger picture

55

1.11.1    School education

55

1.11.2    Remembering

56

 

2   Emergency and incident management

69–110

2.1    Primary Concerns

70

2.2    Preparation and planning

71

2.2.1    Preparations for 7 February

71

2.2.2    Planning for joint incident management teams

72

2.3    Leadership and command

73

2.3.1    Primary functions of emergency management:command, control and coordination

73

2.3.2    The primary positions on 7 February

74

2.3.3    The main facilities and functions on 7 February

75

2.3.4    Control at the state level

75

2.3.5    The fundamental responsibility of those in command

78

2.3.6    Chief Officers

79

2.3.7    Victoria Police

82

2.3.8    The Chief Commissioner of police

83

2.4    The Minister and emergency management

84

2.4.1    Role of the Minister

84

2.4.2    Keeping the Minister informed

85

2.5    A state of disaster

86

2.5.1    Lack of advice

86

2.6    Using AIIMS and what can be improved

87

2.6.1    Control of incidents

88

2.6.2    The Information Unit

88

2.6.3    The Deputy Incident Controller

89

2.6.4    Local knowledge

90

2.7    Information sharing on 7 February

91

2.7.1    Information sharing: incident action plans

91

2.7.2    Incident action plans: the way ahead

93

2.8    Agency integration

94

2.8.1    The integrated Emergency Coordination Centre

94

2.8.2    A lack of integrated systems

94

2.9    Facilities for incident management and coordination

97

2.9.1    Incident control centres

97

2.9.2    Municipal emergency coordination centres

97

2.9.3    Level 3 incident controllers

98

2.9.4    Volunteers

99

2.9.5    Trainees

100

2.10    Roadblocks during the 2009 Victorian bushfires

101

2.10.1    Previous coronial findings

101

2.10.2    The 2006 guidelines

101

2.10.3    The new guidelines

102

2.10.4    The Coroner

104

 

3   Fireground response

111–146

3.1    Initial attack

112

3.1.1    Factors that determine the success of initial attack

112

3.2    Resources and systems

113

3.2.1    Aerial firefighting

113

3.2.2    Private firefighting resources

118

3.2.3    Fire detection and intelligence

119

3.2.4    Information technology

120

3.2.5    Resource management and tracking

122

3.2.6    Communication tools

124

3.2.7    Water and electricity

131

3.3    People

132

3.3.1    Firefighters’ safety and welfare

132

3.3.2    Volunteers

137

 

4   Electricity-caused fire

147–186

4.1    History of Electricity-caused ignitions

148

4.2    The electricity distribution NETWORK

149

4.3    Ageing infrastructure

151

4.3.1    Conductors

151

4.3.2    Insulators

152

4.3.3    Poles

152

4.3.4    Tie wires

152

4.3.5    The SWER network

153

4.4    Replacement options

154

4.4.1    Underground cable

154

4.4.2    Aerial bundled cable

154

4.4.3    Age-based replacement with existing technology

155

4.5    Funding the replacement of the distribution network

156

4.5.1    The economIc regulatory regime and safety

158

4.5.2    A ‘trigger event’ leading the AER to adjust its distribution determination

158

4.5.3    A government contribution to the new network

158

4.6   Interim measures

159

4.6.1    Asset inspection

159

4.6.2    Hazard trees

165

4.6.3    Settings and operation of protective devices on total fire ban days

167

4.6.4    Other devices for limiting fire risk

173

4.7    Energy Safe Victoria

175

4.7.1    A weak regulator

176

 

5   Deliberately lit bushfires

187–198

5.1    defining and recording deliberate fire-setting

188

5.2    The extent and nature of the problem

188

5.2.1    Hot spots and peak times

189

5.2.2    Who deliberately lights fires?

189

5.2.3    Firefighters

191

5.3   Applying crime prevention techniques to deliberately lit bushfires

191

5.3.1    A multi-faceted approach

193

5.4    The Victoria Police approach to arson

194

5.5    National initiatives

196

5.6    Evaluation

197

 

SHORTENED FORMS

200–202

GLOSSARY

203–211

 

PART TWO

 

A note for readers

iii

CONTENTS

v-xiii

 

6   Planning and building

213–276

6.1    Building survival in the 2009 Victorian bushfires

216

6.2    Mapping bushfire risk

217

6.2.1    Bushfire-prone areas

218

6.2.2    The Wildfire Management Overlay

219

6.2.3    Integrated, centralised mapping

222

6.2.4    Mapping criteria

223

6.2.5    A single site-assessment methodology

223

6.3    Regulation of land-use planning

224

6.3.1    Urban growth

226

6.3.2    Settlement patterns

227

6.3.3    Small rural lots

227

6.3.4    A bushfire-prone zone?

228

6.4    The Victoria Planning Provisions: bushfire risk management

229

6.4.1    Clause 15.07: Protection from Wildfire

229

6.4.2    Local planning policies

231

6.4.3    Clause 44.06: Wildfire Management Overlay

231

6.4.4    The CFA as a referral authority

237

6.5    Vegetation conservation

240

6.5.1    Clause 15.09: Conservation of Native Flora and Fauna

241

6.5.2    Clause 52.17: Native Vegetation

242

6.5.3    Clause 52.43: the 10/30 rule

243

6.5.4    Environmental and landscape overlays

243

6.6    Balancing the conservation of native vegetation and the management of bushfire risk

244

6.6.1    The 10/30 rule: biodiversity concerns

244

6.6.2    Consideration of bushfire hazard by the Department of Sustainability and Environment

245

6.6.3    Native vegetation offsets

245

6.6.4    Biodiversity mapping

246

6.6.5    Fire-resistant vegetation

246

6.7    Local planning schemes

247

6.8    High-risk areas

249

6.9    Building regulation

252

6.9.1    AS 3959: Construction of buildings in bushfire-prone areas

254

6.9.2    Revision of AS 3959-1999

254

6.9.3    Publication and adoption of AS 3959-2009

255

6.9.4    Access to the Building Code of Australia and Australian Standards

256

6.9.5    AS 3959-2009

257

6.10    Bushfire bunkers

262

6.11    Bushfire sprinklers

262

6.12    Retrofitting of buildings

263

6.13    Enforcement and maintenance of planning and building conditions

264

6.13.1    Planning permit conditions

264

6.13.2    Building maintenance

265

6.13.3    Checks at the point of sale

266

6.14    Municipal fire prevention

267

6.15    Education and training

267

 

7   LAND AND FUEL MANAGEMENT

277–320

7.1    The expert panel

279

7.2    The impact of prescribed burning on bushfire

280

7.2.1    Effectiveness of prescribed burning

280

7.3    Learning from others

284

7.3.1    Western Australia

284

7.3.2    The US Forest Service

286

7.3.3    New South Wales

288

7.4    Prescribed burning in Victoria

288

7.4.1    The past

289

7.4.2    The present

291

7.4.3    Targets

292

7.4.4    Costs

295

7.4.5    Fire ecology

296

7.4.6    The code of practice

298

7.5    Fuel breaks

304

7.5.1    Victoria planning provisions exemptions

304

7.5.2    The pro forma offer

305

7.6    Roadside clearing

305

7.6.1    Management of roads

306

7.6.2    The obligation to reduce bushfire risk

306

7.6.3    The obligation to protect the environment

306

7.6.4    Complexity and competing objectives

308

7.6.5    Management of fire risk by councils

308

7.6.6    VicRoads and management of fire risk

309

7.6.7    The CFA and roadside works

310

7.6.8    Road safety during fires

311

7.6.9    Roadside vegetation and fire behaviour

312

7.6.10  Firewood

313

 

8   RELIEF AND RECOVERY

321–350

8.1    Planning

324

8.2    Preparation for relief and recovery

326

8.3    During and after the fires

326

8.3.1    First aid

327

8.3.2    Welfare checks

328

8.4    Council relief and recovery centres

329

8.5    Informal relief centres and community initiatives

330

8.6    National registration and inquiry system

332

8.7    Commonwealth support for recovery

333

8.8    Victorian Bushfire Reconstruction and Recovery Authority

334

8.9    Trauma

336

8.9.1    Long-term effects of trauma

337

8.10    Community

338

8.11    Insurance and recovery

339

8.12    Other recovery issues

341

8.12.1    Environment

341

8.12.2    Fodder

343

8.12.3    Animals

344

8.13    The future

345

 

9   SHARED RESPONSIBILITY

351–358

9.1    The Commission’s view

352

9.2    State agencies and municipal councils

352

9.3    Individuals

353

9.4    Households

354

9.5    Communities

354

9.6    Complacency

354

9.7    Community memory

355

9.8    Decision making

356

 

10   Organisational structure

359–390

10.1 Current Arrangements

360

10.1.1 The Country Fire Authority

360

10.1.2 The Department of Sustainability and Environment

361

10.1.3 The Metropolitan Fire Brigade

363

10.1.4 Other bodies and coordination arrangements

363

10.1.5 Interoperability

364

10.2 The need for operational improvement and reform

365

10.2.1 Operational shortcomings

365

10.2.2 Governance, policy and legislative matters

367

10.2.3 Other considerations

368

10.3 Options for change: proposals to the Commission

369

10.3.1 The State’s position

370

10.3.2 Other views

371

10.4 Other models and past reviews

371

10.4.1 The situation interstate

371

10.4.2 The situation in the United States

372

10.4.3 Previous reviews

372

10.4.4 Lack of Consensus

373

10.5 The Commission’s View

373

10.5.1 Promoting operational improvement and reform

375

10.5.2 Better management of level 3 fires

375

10.5.3 Accommodating the potential for future change

375

10.5.4 The proposed course: a Fire Commissioner for Victoria

375

10.5.5 The existing fire agencies

377

10.6 Implications of the new structure

379

10.6.1 Positions

379

10.6.2 Boundary changes

380

10.7 Funding and the Fire Services Levy

381

10.7.1 Inequity

382

10.7.2 Lack of transparency

384

10.7.3 Conclusion

384

 

11   Research and evaluation

391–400

11.1    Bushfire research in Australia

392

11.1.1    The Bushfire Cooperative Research Centre

393

11.1.2    Other research institutions

393

11.2    Research gaps and priorities

394

11.3    Challenges

395

11.3.1    Long-term, secure funding

395

11.3.2    Changing the research agenda

395

11.3.3    Balancing pure and applied research

396

11.3.4    coordinating and developing priorities for bushfire research

397

11.4    A proposed model for future research

397

11.5    Evaluation and continuing policy development

398

 

12   Monitoring implementation

401–406

12.1    The Royal Commission

402

12.2    The interim reports

402

12.2.1    Implementation

402

12.3    The final report

404

12.3.1    Facilitating and monitoring implementation

404

12.3.2    Continuing implementation and evaluation

405

 

APPENDIX A

408

Government policy changes since 7 February 2009

 

APPENDIX B

409–414

Planning and building regulatory frameworks

 

APPENDIX C

415–417

The municipal framework

 

SHORTENED FORMS

418–420

GLOSSARY

421–429

 

CLICK FOR IMAGE

 

Introduction

 

It is imperative that the Victorian community learn from the experience of 7 February 2009. Government regulation, policies and procedures need to change so they better recognise the risk of death from ferocious bushfires and work to substantially mitigate that risk. Individuals and communities need to better understand bushfire and be more active in preparing for and responding to fire. It is only through a joint effort between government and citizens—an effort giving priority to saving lives—that the risk of repeating Black Saturday can be reduced.

Volume II of the Commission’s final report builds on the material in Volume I, which describes the progress of the fires and the circumstances of the deaths of the 173 people who died as a result of the 7 February fires. Volume II develops the main themes that were identified, analyses the lessons learnt, and makes recommendations on what can be done to reduce the risk and impact of future fires. It also considers policy, regulatory and organisational matters related to bushfire safety.

 

The implications for policy reform

Although the fires of January–February 2009 were catastrophic, they were not the first fires to gravely affect the State of Victoria. The outcome of these fires, however—especially the loss of life—surpassed that of past fires. Nevertheless, it would be a mistake to treat these fires as unprecedented or a ‘one-off’ event unlikely to be repeated and thus ignore the lessons to be learnt.

Fires are part of the Australian environment, and the states in the south-east of the continent are most at risk. It is possible, too, that the risks associated with bushfires are increasing as a result of population changes at the rural–urban interface and the probable impacts of climate change.1

The rural–urban interface

The rural–urban interface is where the suburbs meet the bush—‘where human habitation sits alongside areas of vegetation’—and is an area particularly at risk of bushfires caused by humans, including fires that are deliberately lit.2

The six fastest growing municipalities in Melbourne—Wyndham, Melton, Hume, Whittlesea, Cardinia and the City of Casey—are all at the rural–urban interface, and between 2006 and 2026 their population is projected to increase by 200,000.3 Population growth in areas close to bushland increases the risk of fires starting and makes the potential consequences of fire more severe.4

Substantial population growth is also expected in many other parts of Victoria, among them regional centres, coastal areas, rural areas around Melbourne, alpine areas and along the Murray River.5

Although the population is projected to increase in these areas, communities’ capacity to respond to bushfires will not necessarily increase at the same rate.6 There are two main reasons for this:

       People who move from Melbourne to rural and regional areas typically have little or no bushfire awareness.

       Population change is expected to lead to an increased proportion of older Victorians—that is, Victorians aged 60 years and older—living in rural areas.

Both these demographic factors could affect the ‘levels of direct participation by individual community members in volunteer fire brigades, and … the personal resources available to individuals and households to prepare for and protect themselves against bushfire’.7

Climate change

To augment its understanding of climate change and the potential impacts on bushfire prevalence in Australia, the Commission invited Mr Kevin Hennessy to give evidence before it. Mr Hennessy has been a Principal Research Scientist with CSIRO since 1987 and has expertise in the development of Australian climate change projections. In 2007, as a member of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, he was among the recipients of the Nobel Peace Prize.8 The evidence Mr Hennessy presented to the Commission was based on peer-reviewed literature and was not contested by the parties in the hearings.9 The Commission therefore used this evidence as the basis for its conclusions, which are also consistent with the views of the State of Victoria and of Australia’s leading climate science agencies.

The Victorian Government has acknowledged that climate change is one of the ‘greatest challenges facing Victoria, Australia and the global community’, and the Premier, the Hon. John Brumby MP, has stated that his Government is ‘committed to meeting the climate change challenge and committed to driving down greenhouse gas emissions’.10 In November 2009 the Premier asked the Victorian Parliament to accept ‘the overwhelming scientific consensus that human activity is causing global warming’ and urged ‘effective action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change’.11 The Government’s position is supported by both the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, which recognise that climate change is likely to magnify the factors associated with bushfire risk.12

Bushfire risk and bushfires’ severity are greater with higher temperatures, higher wind speeds, lower humidity and extended periods of drought. Meteorological data show that Australia’s average annual temperatures have increased by 0.9°C since 1910, most of this increase occurring since 1950. In south-east Australia rainfall has decreased.13

Since 1973 droughts have become more intense as a consequence of the warmer average temperatures and decreased rainfall.14 An analysis of Forest Fire Danger Index data for a range of sites in Victoria from 1974 to 2003 shows an upward trend in the rating associated with an increase in the number of days of very high and extreme fire danger.15

Climate change is also likely to increase the risk of heatwaves, hot days and dry conditions in Victoria, contributing to increased fire risk with time.16 In a report prepared for the Commission, Mr Hennessy stated:

Climate scientists have looked very closely at natural external forcing factors that have affected climate over the 20th century. Through these studies, they have been able to determine that none of these natural processes can explain the sustained rise in global temperature that has been observed. Rather, changes due to natural forcing have been superimposed on a background warming trend, and it is very likely that most of the observed global warming since the mid 20th century is due to anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases.17

In its formal hearings the Commission took limited evidence on the subject of climate change because it was persuaded by Mr Hennessy’s conclusions, which, as noted, are consistent with the opinions of the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Australia’s leading climate science agencies. The Commission is aware of debate in the scientific community about the causes of climate change, but it did not see value in entering this debate when the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, as well as Victoria and the Commonwealth, have concluded—as have the Commissioners themselves—that climate change is affecting the Australian environment and its weather patterns.

 

Structure of this volume

State, Commonwealth and local government policy and regulation and their response to bushfire, the activities of emergency services, and the actions of individuals and communities are the subject of this volume, which also presents the Commission’s recommendations in relation to those areas.

The Commission recommends a major review of the policy framework for supporting members of the Victorian community in maintaining a safe lifestyle despite the occasional occurrence of serious bushfires. It examined the systems and structures needed to ensure that government, emergency services agencies and individuals make informed, effective decisions in connection with bushfires in such a way as to minimise loss of life and other damage. These matters are discussed in Chapter 1, ‘Victoria’s bushfire safety policy’, Chapter 2, ‘Emergency and incident management’, and Chapter 3, ‘Fireground response’.

The risk of fires starting should be reduced wherever possible. The evidence on the 15 fires the Commission examined makes it clear that most of these fires started as a direct or indirect result of human activity. The failure of electricity assets and fires that are suspected of being either deliberately or accidentally lit were the most common causes. The Commission discusses and makes recommendations in relation to how the incidence of such fires might be reduced in Chapter 4, ‘Electricity-caused fires’, and Chapter 5, ‘Deliberately lit fires’.

The Commission also looked at ways of limiting the loss of human life caused by bushfires and reducing exposure to and the intensity of fires when they do break out. Recommendations in this regard are presented in Chapter 6, ‘Planning and building’, and Chapter 7, ‘Land and fuel management’.

Chapter 8, ‘Relief and recovery’, discusses helping people recover from the impacts of fires. The Commission is mindful that recovery is a long process and, because this process has a long way to go in the case of the January–February 2009 fires, it is too soon to evaluate the entire recovery program. The Commission focused instead on the response immediately after the fires and how government might later assess and improve its long-term recovery strategies.

The Commission also recognised the need to look at priorities in the long term, with a view to creating an environment in which individuals, communities and fire agencies all give more emphasis to community safety, using the experience of and lessons learnt from the Black Saturday fires. These matters are discussed in Chapter 9, ‘Shared responsibility’, Chapter 10, ‘Organisational structure’, and Chapter 11, ‘Research and evaluation’.

Finally, the Commission acknowledges that all governments, and particularly the State of Victoria, have made a considerable number of changes to bushfire policies and approaches since 7 February. The State’s decision to have its response to the recommendations made in the Commission’s interim report independently reviewed by Mr Neil Comrie, former Chief Commissioner of Victoria Police, is commended.

From now, though, there will no longer be a royal commission to automatically keep a focus on implementing reform. In the light of the experience of past bushfire inquiries—when many recommendations have been only partially implemented or not implemented at all and moves for reform have lost their momentum with the passage of time—in Chapter 12, ‘Monitoring and implementation’, the Commission outlines a framework for ensuring that government agencies’ progress in implementing the Commission’s recommendations is reported on, independently and transparently, to government and the community.

While dealing with a complex and varied range of topics in this volume, the Commission strove to ensure consistency and coherence throughout the analysis and recommendations. As noted in the introduction to the Commission’s entire report (see Volume I), the recommendations are framed broadly and their rationale is detailed in the surrounding text. Readers wanting to probe further into evidence that was presented to the Commission and the views of parties who appeared before it are encouraged to read the transcript of hearings, the submissions of counsel assisting and the responses from the parties. This material will be available on the Commission’s website for 12 months and after that will be available through the website of the Department of Premier and Cabinet.

The recommendations and suggestions the Commission makes in Volume II are formulated against the background of the types of fires that ravaged Victoria on 7 February. Those fires were as ferocious as any that had previously beset the state. As a consequence, the Commission was particularly focused on identifying the changes that are needed to better prepare the State for dealing with similar circumstances when they next occur.

Not all the recommendations have equal relevance to the preparation for and response to bushfires of lesser intensity. The Commission expects that the State and its agencies will sensibly reflect the thrust of what is proposed in a way that graduates the implementation of change so as to maximise its relevance to different bushfire circumstances.

The Commission considers that adoption of its recommendations will strengthen the fire agencies’ capacity to deal with a wider range of bushfire possibilities than were envisaged by the previous operational arrangements and practices. If this does occur the overall capabilities of the agencies will expand and community protection will improve.

 

 

1       Exhibit 708 – Hansen Report (EXP.021.001.0001) [4.1]–[4.2], [5.1]–[5.2]

2       Exhibit 383 – Statement of Muller, Attachment 2 (WIT.077.001.0008) at 0022

3       Exhibit 931 – Statement of Armytage (WIT.3003.002.0001) [31], Attachment 3 (WIT.3003.002.0076) at 0079

4       Exhibit 383 – Statement of Muller, Attachment 2 (WIT.077.001.0008) at 0022

5       Exhibit 931 – Statement of Armytage, Attachment 3 (WIT.3003.002.0076) at 0079

6       Exhibit 931 – Statement of Armytage (WIT.3003.002.0001) [32]

7       Exhibit 931 – Statement of Armytage (WIT.3003.002.0001) [32]; Exhibit 383 – Statement of Muller, Attachment 2 (WIT.077.001.0008) at 0022

8       Exhibit 222 – Curriculum Vitae – Kevin Hennessy (EXP.006.001.0038) at 0038

9       Hennessy T6776:18T6776:22. The hearings and the role of the parties is discussed in Volume III

10     Victoria, Parliamentary Debates, Legislative Assembly, 25 November 2009, 4140 (Mr John Brumby)

11     Victoria, Parliamentary Debates, Legislative Assembly, 25 November 2009, 4140 (Mr John Brumby)

12     Exhibit 145 – Climate Change Impacts on Fire-Weather in South-East Australia (TEN.055.001.0001)

13     Exhibit 222 – Climate Change and the 2009 Bushfires (EXP.006.001.0001) at 0018–0019

14     Exhibit 222 – Climate Change and the 2009 Bushfires (EXP.006.001.0001) at 0020

15     Exhibit 145 – Climate Change Impacts on Fire-Weather in South-East Australia (TEN.055.001.0001) at 0005, 0024, 0028–0029

16     Exhibit 222 – Climate Change and the 2009 Bushfires (EXP.006.001.0001) at 0025, 0028

17     Exhibit 222 – Climate Change and the 2009 Bushfires (EXP.006.001.0001) at 0015

 

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